Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 384.513719 436.767506 494.822002 564.334396 645.603752 737.971623 851.409635
2025-11-09 312.390187 382.365858 467.294348 578.927747 723.229560 905.425730 1156.004556
2025-11-16 266.488948 342.410259 440.068527 576.754351 766.107366 1023.648698 1408.300665
2025-11-23 232.651004 310.465756 415.239618 569.438103 795.436851 1122.392264 1646.126107
2025-11-30 210.154027 289.696702 401.107585 572.446689 836.467636 1240.340672 1930.405263
2025-12-07 188.456403 266.920124 380.521856 561.884517 853.668225 1322.298983 2170.308774
2025-12-14 172.232416 249.998898 366.038939 557.776984 878.889399 1418.882297 2451.306018
2025-12-21 154.294359 228.526370 342.088538 535.194660 869.729082 1454.784297 2627.949336
2025-12-28 147.670098 223.704291 343.326010 553.458812 931.866135 1624.386223 3093.051028
2026-01-04 142.582354 220.697153 346.936683 575.786550 1003.816843 1823.190116 3661.724060
2026-01-11 134.414932 211.859390 339.889132 578.298735 1038.999053 1956.152965 4119.392340
2026-01-18 124.632155 199.467135 325.584933 565.875491 1043.432389 2027.080222 4451.439707
2026-01-25 116.076972 188.653132 313.360227 556.555633 1053.979246 2115.252902 4854.160007
2026-02-01 111.997865 185.259861 313.987263 571.884806 1117.406629 2330.725383 5639.700091
2026-02-08 105.837462 177.655047 306.218678 569.696769 1143.137555 2464.846034 6246.738580
2026-02-15 99.602928 169.420117 296.533400 562.487580 1156.688865 2572.331581 6810.181672
2026-02-22 95.204530 164.195346 292.048645 565.452953 1193.543231 2743.974402 7618.859098
2026-03-01 89.602776 156.317894 281.788750 555.041968 1197.682353 2832.613060 8195.198427
2026-03-08 85.184287 150.364052 274.813552 550.993095 1216.521318 2963.996461 8958.418561
2026-03-15 79.169553 140.959536 260.259434 528.731927 1187.539345 2958.898723 9245.717677
2026-03-22 77.745532 140.357729 263.434823 546.736511 1262.803671 3264.672863 10784.000656
2026-03-29 76.742958 140.500464 268.127472 568.744913 1352.026686 3632.314838 12725.848032
2026-04-05 73.975424 136.917382 264.712781 571.221033 1389.294745 3849.236597 14147.717309